Housing · Eurostat31%
Cramped but owned: 31% of Poles live in overcrowded homes
Polish homes are cheap to run but cramped and expensive to buy, according to a comparison of Eurostat data across the European Union.
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Key facts
- 31% of Poles live in overcrowded housing, against an EU average of about 17%.
- Poles have 1.2 rooms per person, compared with 1.7 in the EU.
- 87% of Poles live in a home they own, and 75% have no mortgage, the fourth-highest share in the EU.
- Only 4.1% of residents spend more than 40% of their income on housing, against 11.2% in Germany and 23.4% in Denmark.
- Home prices rose by about 88% between Q1 2019 and Q1 2026, the fifth-fastest increase in the EU.
What it means
- 51% of Poles aged 25–34 still live with their parents, the fourth-highest share in the EU.
Source: Eurostat, Bankier.pl (4 Oct 2026)
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Stock market · WSE5×
Warsaw Stock Exchange switches to a new trading system five times more powerful
On 5 October the Warsaw Stock Exchange moves from the UTP platform to its own GPW WATS trading system.
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Key facts
- WATS can handle up to 100,000 orders per second, compared with 20,000 on UTP.
- Order round-trip time falls from 650 to 50 microseconds.
- UTP, supplied by NYSE Technologies, ran the Warsaw exchange for more than a decade.
What it means for investors
- All unfilled orders were cancelled after Friday's session and must be placed again in the new system.
Source: PAP Biznes, Bankier.pl (3 Oct 2026)
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Interest rates · MPC3.75%
Poland's rate-setters decide on Wednesday as inflation jumps
On Wednesday 7 October the Monetary Policy Council announces its interest rate decision. The NBP reference rate currently stands at 3.75%.
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Key facts
- Markets expect rates to stay on hold.
- With inflation up to 4.0%, some investors now see a possible rate hike before the end of the year.
- The post-meeting statement may signal a shift in the Council's stance ahead of November's inflation projection.
Calendar
- Wednesday 7 Oct: MPC decision.
- Thursday 8 Oct, 15:00 CET: press conference by NBP Governor Adam Glapiński.
Source: Bankier.pl (2 Oct 2026)
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Pensions · 2027 indexation3.48%
Polish pensions could rise by 3.48% in March 2027
That is the indexation rate in the government's assumptions. The final increase will only be known once inflation and wage data for 2026 are in.
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Key facts
- The minimum pension would rise from 1,978.49 zł to about 2,047.34 zł gross.
- A pension of 3,000 zł gross would go up by 104.40 zł.
- The government assumed the share of real wage growth in the indexation will be at the legal minimum of 20%.
What's next
- This is a simulation. The final rate depends on 2026 inflation and wage growth, and it will apply to benefits from 1 March 2027.
Source: Government assumptions, gp24.pl (2 Oct 2026)
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Inflation · Statistics Poland4.0%
Inflation hits 4.0%, the fastest price growth in 15 months
Prices in September were 4.0% higher than a year earlier, according to the flash estimate from Statistics Poland (GUS). Fuel accounts for roughly half of the increase.
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Key facts
- Fuel prices rose 36.1% year on year after government fuel price support ended.
- Inflation was 3.4% in August. In September alone, prices rose 0.7% from the previous month.
- Food is 0.5% cheaper than a year ago.
What's next
- mBank economists expect inflation could approach 5% in January 2027.
- Economists say the Monetary Policy Council will likely wait it out, pushing interest rate cuts further away.
Source: Statistics Poland (30 Sep 2026), mBank, ING
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